Eklund: Crazy Weekend Brings Crazy New Projections. Do Matchups Matter? Buzz@1

CRAZY!

Your total number of games is correct (1271)

You have Arizona only playing 81 games

However, you have 1268 wins and 1273 losses+OTL

You need 3 more wins and 2 less losses for this to balance out.

The sum() function is your friend

Really ? Byfuglien might be injured ? Keep chasing down that rumour !!

I think it is a bit of a stretch to predict that San Jose will end up with 4 more wins than the Flames with just 10 games left and the Flames currently have one more win than San Jose so they will need to gain 5 wins on the Flames over 10 games? I doubt that very much

I don't get it. Carolina is 9 pts ahead of Philly with 11 games to go. I don't get how they could catch Carolina.

I think AZ has a shot if they play all 82 games.

I don't get it. Carolina is 9 pts ahead of Philly with 11 games to go. I don't get how they could catch Carolina.
- garybdiver54

In FlyersBuzz anything is possible.

I don't get it. Carolina is 9 pts ahead of Philly with 11 games to go. I don't get how they could catch Carolina.
- garybdiver54

7 Points now, but Carolina has a game in hand...its pretty well impossible for Philly to pass Carolina. Assuming Philly runs the table and wins all 10 remaining games that brings them to 98 points, meaning Carolina needs 99 points to make it, which is only 14/22 points, just better than 500. Every game Philly loses means 2 less points required for Carolina.

The only way Philly or Montreal makes it is if Columbus sh**s the bed but I don't see Columbus letting a game and a half lead go with 10 games to go. They even have the tie breaker.

To me the east is confirmed. If I am wrong I will eat all sh** the Flyers fans can throw at me, only if it is Carolina outed

I don't get it. Carolina is 9 pts ahead of Philly with 11 games to go. I don't get how they could catch Carolina.
- garybdiver54

His simulator predicts Carolina will go 2-7-2 to finish off the season.

It would be their worst stretch of hockey since November, when Hamilton was playing hurt, Staal was out with a concussion and Rask had just rejoined the team.

I think it is a bit of a stretch to predict that San Jose will end up with 4 more wins than the Flames with just 10 games left and the Flames currently have one more win than San Jose so they will need to gain 5 wins on the Flames over 10 games? I doubt that very much
- Flames in 6 04

This would also mean that the Sharks have to go 10-0 the rest of the way...highly unlikey.

It's Eklund simulator so it must be true! Either that or he ti kers with the sum() function, tinker with the flyers being this amazing team that should win every gamr because he cant have his favourite out of the playoffs. I guess we will soon find out which is true.

Oh and if Tampa wins tonight, that would be an upset right? Because of previous matchups nothing to do with Tampa being the best team so far!

His simulator predicts Carolina will go 2-7-2 to finish off the season.

It would be their worst stretch of hockey since November, when Hamilton was playing hurt, Staal was out with a concussion and Rask had just rejoined the team.
- BINGO!

And the Flyers going 7-2-1

What a joke.

I don't get it. Carolina is 9 pts ahead of Philly with 11 games to go. I don't get how they could catch Carolina.
- garybdiver54

Because Carolina is only going to get 6 points in their last 11 games you dummy!!

And the Flyers going 7-2-1

What a joke.
- Feds91Stammer

The canes have 5 games remaining against teams below them in the standings, including 2 against the Flyers themselves. 7 of their last 11 are at home.

four of the Flyers's remaining 10 games are matinee games games for some reason.

This would also mean that the Sharks have to go 10-0 the rest of the way...highly unlikey.
- jbclark

I would not be the least bit surprised if the winner of the game on the 31st is the winner of the conference.

..which means he'll be in the lineup tonight

If you have the game recorded, listen to the voice of the announcer at the sign out. It was like he was dead in his soul. No hints about his name except this, he performs oral audible sex acts on the air with one team and especially one player.
I replayed this several times. His discomfiture was satisfying.

I've been pounded for SOME time by a former co-worker who is, to my unending fury, a Pens fan. I am prone to respond by using various derogatory terms for the entire city and all of it's teams.
How does that jerkwater town generate so much misery for us?
Anyway, the descriptive I use for the Penguins is the Penguanos.
There is no copyright and it has a certain effect that upsets the more intelligent folks
who know what guano is.(If clever enough to figure this out, how can they be fans of that team? A conundrum for sure.) You are free to deploy it as you will.
It is a complete term. Every aspect is covered involving that burg and that team. I don't consider this a stroke of genius, more of well delivered sword's strike to the heart of the enemy!
Later I go to FB and rattle his cage a bit.
I am pleased by the latter half of the season and I will most likely waste much of my valueless time (I'm retired) in the coming year, once again, screaming "Go Flyers!'.

An aside, and possibly a topic that can be joined in.
My lady, an accomplished (real) genius, has been thoroughly corrupted and turns from her intellectualism to scream like a child being pinched during games. It is the first time she ever was a fan (Tolstoy excepted) and she has succumbed to the passion that is generated by this team. (That and my unrelenting advocacy.)
So, who have you turned to the light side?
- Pompous

WTF?

WTF?

- Crushers68

WTF?

- Crushers68

was deleted from here or is it form another blog ?

I think AZ has a shot if they play all 82 games.
- Feds91Stammer

Imagine if AZ miss the playoffs by one point and then discover holy s**T we only played 81 games. It would be as controversial as Brett Hull's Stanley Cup winning goal.

Arizona can easily beat Tampa, how? I have Vas as my fantasy goalie. Guy sucks in fantasy playoffs. Guy got scored on 3 times in detroit.

Hi everyone. I’m a first time poster here. I’m doing a PHD in statistics with an emphasis on hockey analytics. Longer term goal is to get a job in the NHL, ideally with my hometown Flames!! Anyways, one thing we’re studying is whether experts can beat the house. So we’ve been studying sites like Bodog, and some of the content from “expert insiders” to see if they truly have an edge. Someone mentioned this website so I’m checking it out. But I’m extremely confused about how the results are tabulated?

For example, on March 14 his picks were 3-7, but then on the next day he reported going 4-6. The cumulative tally said 36-24 but it was really 35-25. We’ve triple-checked this so I’m guessing he either changed a prediction without notifying us readers, or he made a data entry error?

The next day he goes 3-3. So he states 39-27, although we think he’s 38-28.

Then comes the really strange occurrence that I’m trying to figure out. On March 16 (Saturday) he went 4-8, followed by 1-6 on March 17 (Sunday). So 38-28 becomes 43-42. That’s his true record. But even if we take his 39-27 as he stated, once you add 4-8 and 1-6 he should be at 44-41. Yet in his article today he’s claiming to be 40-32. It appears the 4-8 record on Saturday has been omitted from the cumulative tally, as well as yet another random loss on Sunday has been expunged from the record so 1-6 has become 1-5.

I’ve now reached the conclusion that there isn’t any mathematical model behind this simulator since errors like this would be unheard of. Instead it appears as if this entire simulator is being updated manually. That would also explain some of the other anomalies people have reported (ie teams playing 81 games, point totals not adding up correctly, etc...). I think my prof was trolling me suggesting that I look at this site. Haha.

For what its worth, being at 43-42 in this stage of the season is extremely poor. Statistically, after 1/3rd of a season (so 25-30 games in the NHL) you can start to infer the quality of each team. Ironically that's what Scotty Bowman always said...you can figure out after 30 games what kind of team you have. After that 30 game mark, simply betting on the team with a higher winning percentage would yield results of about 70% the rest of the way. So while Eklund is 43-42, betting on the favourites each night has resulted in 60-25.

Looking forward to an Oilers-Flyers Stanley Cup Final...

Eklund you’re an idiot, Carolina is not going to only get 6 pts of their remaining 20. Don’t post about hockey ever again you hockey village idiot.

Hi everyone. I’m a first time poster here. I’m doing a PHD in statistics with an emphasis on hockey analytics. Longer term goal is to get a job in the NHL, ideally with my hometown Flames!! Anyways, one thing we’re studying is whether experts can beat the house. So we’ve been studying sites like Bodog, and some of the content from “expert insiders” to see if they truly have an edge. Someone mentioned this website so I’m checking it out. But I’m extremely confused about how the results are tabulated?

For example, on March 14 his picks were 3-7, but then on the next day he reported going 4-6. The cumulative tally said 36-24 but it was really 35-25. We’ve triple-checked this so I’m guessing he either changed a prediction without notifying us readers, or he made a data entry error?

The next day he goes 3-3. So he states 39-27, although we think he’s 38-28.

Then comes the really strange occurrence that I’m trying to figure out. On March 16 (Saturday) he went 4-8, followed by 1-6 on March 17 (Sunday). So 38-28 becomes 43-42. That’s his true record. But even if we take his 39-27 as he stated, once you add 4-8 and 1-6 he should be at 44-41. Yet in his article today he’s claiming to be 40-32. It appears the 4-8 record on Saturday has been omitted from the cumulative tally, as well as yet another random loss on Sunday has been expunged from the record so 1-6 has become 1-5.

I’ve now reached the conclusion that there isn’t any mathematical model behind this simulator since errors like this would be unheard of. Instead it appears as if this entire simulator is being updated manually. That would also explain some of the other anomalies people have reported (ie teams playing 81 games, point totals not adding up correctly, etc...). I think my prof was trolling me suggesting that I look at this site. Haha.

For what its worth, being at 43-42 in this stage of the season is extremely poor. Statistically, after 1/3rd of a season (so 25-30 games in the NHL) you can start to infer the quality of each team. Ironically that's what Scotty Bowman always said...you can figure out after 30 games what kind of team you have. After that 30 game mark, simply betting on the team with a higher winning percentage would yield results of about 70% the rest of the way. So while Eklund is 43-42, betting on the favourites each night has resulted in 60-25.

Looking forward to an Oilers-Flyers Stanley Cup Final...
- uofcguy

nicely done!